MIL @ TB — Propedia MLB

Jacob Misiorowski

MIL · RHP

ERA 1.8WHIP 0.80K/9 12.98FI ERA 3.0NRFI 24-6

TBD

TB · HP

Tropicana Field · CF 404 ft · Fixed dome

MIL 103-59 W5Scored 5.14 / Allowed 3.81 per game

TB 98-64 L1Scored 4.54 / Allowed 4.01 per game

Weather: 75.0F · wind 14.2 mph · precip 5%

Jacob Misiorowski

RHP · 16-5, 174.2 IP, 30 GS

1.8

ERA

0.80

WHIP

12.98

K/9

2.27

BB/9

4-Seam

61.3%

Cutter

17.4%

Slider

10.5%

Curve

10.3%

Sinker

0.5%

Pitch details

4-Seam61.3%

100.3 mph · 31.5% whiff

LHH 40 PA 0.081/0.081 · RHH 33 PA 0.286/0.357

Cutter17.4%

95.3 mph · 21.4% whiff

LHH 12 PA 0.1/0.2 · RHH 13 PA 0.25/0.25

Slider10.5%

91.5 mph · 32.3% whiff

LHH 7 PA 0.333/0.5 · RHH 10 PA 0.4/0.8

Curve10.3%

88.1 mph · 43.9% whiff

LHH 14 PA 0.143/0.143 · RHH 10 PA 0.0/0.0

Sinker0.5%

100.6 mph

LHH — · RHH —

Last 5:

2026-09-27: 5.1 IP, 5K, 0ER, 2H, 2BB

2026-09-20: 3.0 IP, 4K, 0ER, 1H, 0BB

2026-09-15: 5.0 IP, 7K, 0ER, 5H, 1BB

2026-09-08: 6.1 IP, 9K, 1ER, 4H, 2BB

2026-09-02: 4.0 IP, 5K, 5ER, 5H, 4BB

Tap for prop card →

TBD

Starter not announced

Moneyline: MIL: 72% bets / 87% $ ◀ sharp · TB: 28% bets / 13% $ pub

Handle vs tickets divergence can indicate sharp action. Not a pick signal alone.

Sim Scoreboard10,000 Monte Carlo sims · most common final MIL 2, TB 3 (2% of sims)

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
MIL	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	10
TB	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	8

Win probability: MIL 73% · TB 27% · average total 8.88 runs · sim NRFI 57%. Linescore shown is one representative simulated game (the modal final), not an average.

Chandler Simpson TB

2+ hits hits — 25% EDGE

Model 37% · Fair 168

Model lean · book line TBD

season 0.306

Jackson Chourio MIL

2+ hits hits — 29% EDGE

Model 36% · Fair 182

Model lean · book line TBD

L10 hot 0.333

Cooper Pratt MIL

2+ hits hits — 32% EDGE

Model 34% · Fair 192

Model lean · book line TBD

L10 hot 0.333

Joey Ortiz MIL

2+ hits hits — 35% EDGE

Model 32% · Fair 209

Model lean · book line TBD

L10 hot 0.324

Andrew Vaughn MIL

2+ hits hits — 36% EDGE

Model 32% · Fair 213

Model lean · book line TBD

season 0.306

Brice Turang MIL

2+ hits hits — 37% EDGE

Model 31% · Fair 218

Model lean · book line TBD

L10 hot 0.310

Jacob Misiorowski MIL

OVER 6.5 Ks — 1% EDGE

Model 50% over · Fair -101

Model lean · book line TBD

model 6.7 Ks (12.0 K/9 × 5.0 IP); L5: 6.0 K/start

Model: independent 1M-sim. Book lines via Covers.

Bullpensstrength + last 3 days usage

MIL Bullpen

Pen ERA 3.2 · WHIP 1.2 · K/9 9.41 · HR/9 0.75 · 4 of 7 arms fresh

RELIEVER	ERA	WHIP	K/9	PITCHES -1/-2/-3D	STATUS
Trevor Megill RHP	2.63	0.89	10.07	5/0/0	Available
Aaron Ashby LHP	3.12	1.31	11.69	31/0/0	Unlikely
Abner Uribe RHP	1.97	1.03	9.4	19/0/0	Available
JoJo Romero LHP	3.36	1.22	8.63	11/0/0	Available
Antonio Senzatela RHP	4.05	1.35	7.36	18/26/0	Unlikely
DL Hall LHP	1.91	1.04	9.39	24/0/0	Worked yesterday
Shane Drohan LHP	4.19	1.32	9.02	15/0/0	Available

TB Bullpen

Pen ERA 3.51 · WHIP 1.08 · K/9 9.21 · HR/9 1.22 · 5 of 9 arms fresh

RELIEVER	ERA	WHIP	K/9	PITCHES -1/-2/-3D	STATUS
Bryan Baker RHP	1.44	0.91	9.1	21/0/0	Worked yesterday
Kevin Kelly RHP	2.44	0.9	7.7	12/0/0	Available
Tyler Wells RHP	2.38	0.9	9.0	24/16/0	Unlikely
Garrett Cleavinger LHP	4.79	1.43	11.76	0/11/0	Available
Cole Sulser RHP	4.31	1.24	8.95	0/32/0	Available
Cam Booser LHP	1.98	0.76	9.88	9/12/0	Back-to-back
Ian Seymour LHP	4.21	1.13	10.72	32/0/0	Unlikely

Brice Turang 2B · LHB

BvP: —

.268AVG

21HR

100RBI

0.310L10

William Contreras C · RHB

BvP: —

.270AVG

18HR

94RBI

0.237L10

Jake Bauers 1B · LHB

BvP: —

.266AVG

26HR

86RBI

0.229L10

Jackson Chourio LF · RHB

BvP: —

.291AVG

25HR

75RBI

0.333L10

Garrett Mitchell CF · LHB

BvP: —

.262AVG

11HR

65RBI

0.182L10

Christian Yelich DH · LHB

BvP: —

.235AVG

12HR

59RBI

0.171L10

Joey Ortiz SS · RHB

BvP: —

.270AVG

9HR

47RBI

0.324L10

David Hamilton 3B · LHB

BvP: —

.245AVG

4HR

26RBI

0.250L10

Sal Frelick RF · LHB

BvP: —

.230AVG

4HR

40RBI

0.160L10

Bench / other hitters outside the projected nine

Andrew Vaughn 1B · RHB

BvP: —

.306AVG

6HR

43RBI

0.231L10

Gary Sánchez C · RHB

BvP: —

.209AVG

12HR

38RBI

0.231L10

Cooper Pratt SS · RHB

BvP: —

.281AVG

3HR

34RBI

0.333L10

Junior Caminero 3B · RHB

BvP: 3 PA .000/0HR

.276AVG

42HR

101RBI

0.257L10

Yandy Díaz DH · RHB

BvP: 3 PA .333/1HR

.293AVG

22HR

85RBI

0.175L10

Jonathan Aranda 1B · LHB

BvP: 3 PA .000/0HR

.274AVG

22HR

92RBI

0.206L10

Chandler Simpson LF · LHB

BvP: 3 PA .500/0HR

.306AVG

0HR

38RBI

0.333L10

Liam Hicks C · LHB

BvP: 2 PA .500/0HR

.284AVG

18HR

82RBI

0.258L10

Cedric Mullins CF · LHB

BvP: 3 PA .000/0HR

.205AVG

15HR

48RBI

0.240L10

Taylor Walls SS · SHB

BvP: —

.222AVG

2HR

36RBI

0.241L10

Richie Palacios 2B · LHB

BvP: 2 PA .000/0HR

.235AVG

10HR

57RBI

0.267L10

Jonny DeLuca RF · RHB

BvP: —

.266AVG

11HR

50RBI

0.286L10

Bench / other hitters outside the projected nine

Nick Fortes C · RHB

BvP: 3 PA .333/0HR

.258AVG

6HR

35RBI

0.192L10

Ben Williamson 2B · RHB

BvP: 1 PA .000/0HR

.238AVG

3HR

26RBI

0.138L10

Ryan Vilade RF · RHB

BvP: —

.245AVG

11HR

43RBI

0.133L10

BvP cross-check: fantasyinfocentral daily matchups · pitch data: Baseball Savant · lines: PropLine

← all games