MLB
Today's Games · 2026-10-28 · Props to Watch
1MIL @ TBJacob Misiorowski vs TBD1MIL @ TBJacob Misiorowski vs TBD
PROPS TO WATCH＋
1
Chandler Simpson TB · MIL @ TB
2+ hits — model 37% · fair +168
season 0.306
2
Jackson Chourio MIL · MIL @ TB
2+ hits — model 36% · fair +182
L10 hot 0.333
3
Cooper Pratt MIL · MIL @ TB
2+ hits — model 34% · fair +192
L10 hot 0.333
4
Joey Ortiz MIL · MIL @ TB
2+ hits — model 32% · fair +209
L10 hot 0.324
5
Andrew Vaughn MIL · MIL @ TB
2+ hits — model 32% · fair +213
season 0.306
6
Brice Turang MIL · MIL @ TB
2+ hits — model 31% · fair +218
L10 hot 0.310
7
Jacob Misiorowski MIL · MIL @ TB
over 6.5 Ks — model 50% · fair -101
model 6.7 Ks (12.0 K/9 × 5.0 IP)L5: 6.0 K/startCurve 43.9% whiff
MILWAUKEE
Brewers
—
TAMPA BAY
Rays
—
8:00 PM ET
Jacob Misiorowski vs TBD
NRFIStrikeoutsHome RunsHit MatrixStreaksBvPStolen BasesStadiumNRFI Page
NRFI Boardmodel probability · L10 records · full breakdown on the NRFI page
GameAway pitcherHome pitcherNRFI%Grade
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET		Jacob Misiorowski 8-2TBD —57%SLIM NRFI
Grades: ELITE 70%+ · STRONG 65-70% · LEAN 58-65% · SLIM 52-58% · PASS under 52% (model probability of the graded side). Model: per half, 65% the pitcher's scoreless-first rate + 35% the batting team's scoreless-first rate, every input computed from linescores; the two halves combine. Full NRFI breakdown: season/career records, home-away splits, 1st-inning K/BB, start-by-start logs →
Strikeout Matchupsmodel projection vs the matchup

Jacob Misiorowski RHP

MIL vs TB · 8:00 PM ET
MODEL PROJ6.7
K%
37.9
WHIFF%
30.9
OPP K%
18.8
PARK K
102
K/9
12.98
L5 AVG
6.0
LAST 5 STARTS (Ks)
5 · 4 · 7 · 9 · 5
Grades from projection minus book line: STRONG ±1.0 K or more · LEAN ±0.5. Park K: Statcast index, 100 = league average. Opp K% = opponent team strikeout rate.
Home Run Matchupspower profiles + park boost for the hitter's bat side

MIL @ TB

vs starting pitching · Power Score counts elite marks: Barrel 10%+ · Hard Hit 42%+ · Fly Ball 38%+ · EV 90+
Junior Caminero 3B · RHB
batting 1 · park boost +18% for RHB · career vs SP: .000 in 3 AB · vs RHP: .276 (702 PA)
Barrel 13.1%Fly Ball 22.2%Hard Hit 49.6%EV 92.7LA 10.3°
POWER SCORE
3/4
Jake Bauers 1B · LHB
batting 3 · park boost -12% for LHB · vs NoneHP: .266 (578 PA)
Barrel 14.1%Fly Ball 30.3%Hard Hit 52.5%EV 92.1LA 12.3°
POWER SCORE
3/4
Jackson Chourio LF · RHB
batting 4 · park boost +18% for RHB · vs NoneHP: .291 (573 PA)
Barrel 12.3%Fly Ball 30.8%Hard Hit 47.0%EV 91.6LA 11.8°
POWER SCORE
3/4
BATTERSPOTPAHRBAOBPSLGISOPARK BOOSTCAREER vs SPSP HR/9
Junior Caminero 3B · RHB 170242 0.2760.360 0.5240.248 +18%.000 (3) 0.72
Jake Bauers 1B · LHB 357826 0.2660.389 0.4840.218 -12%— —
Gary Sánchez C · RHB —27512 0.2090.349 0.4220.213 +18%— —
Jackson Chourio LF · RHB 457325 0.2910.351 0.4870.196 +18%— —
Ryan Vilade RF · RHB —27811 0.2450.321 0.4290.184 +18%— 0.72
Brice Turang 2B · LHB 168021 0.2680.366 0.4500.182 -12%— —
Jonny DeLuca RF · RHB 937011 0.2660.300 0.4290.163 +18%— 0.72
Jonathan Aranda 1B · LHB 366822 0.2740.358 0.4340.160 -12%.000 (3) 0.72
Yandy Díaz DH · RHB 268622 0.2930.359 0.4460.153 +18%.333 (3) 0.72
Liam Hicks C · LHB 555418 0.2840.367 0.4340.150 -12%.500 (2) 0.72
Hit Rate Matrixlast 10 games · games reaching each threshold

MIL @ TB

Last 10 games · games reaching each threshold
PLAYERBA1+ HIT2+ HITS3+ HITSHR
Junior Caminero TB · RHB 0.2768/102/100/102/10
Jake Bauers MIL · LHB 0.2665/102/100/102/10
Gary Sánchez MIL · RHB 0.2096/101/100/105/10
Jackson Chourio MIL · RHB 0.2918/104/101/101/10
Ryan Vilade TB · RHB 0.2453/91/91/90/9
Brice Turang MIL · LHB 0.2687/102/101/101/10
Jonny DeLuca TB · RHB 0.2664/92/90/91/9
Jonathan Aranda TB · LHB 0.2746/102/101/103/10
Yandy Díaz TB · RHB 0.2939/104/102/102/10
Liam Hicks TB · LHB 0.2845/102/101/103/10
Garrett Mitchell MIL · LHB 0.2625/94/90/91/9
William Contreras MIL · RHB 0.2708/103/100/101/10
Hit Streaks3+ games with a hit
BATTERSTREAKVSL10 AVGBvP
William Contreras MIL · C 5 games 0.237 —
Yandy Díaz TB · DH 5 games Jacob Misiorowski 0.175 .333 in 3 AB
Sal Frelick MIL · RF 4 games 0.160 —
Andrew Vaughn MIL · 1B 4 games 0.231 —
Junior Caminero TB · 3B 4 games Jacob Misiorowski 0.257 .000 in 3 AB
Chandler Simpson TB · LF 3 games Jacob Misiorowski 0.333 .500 in 2 AB
Batter vs Pitchercareer · min 2 AB
BATTERPITCHERABAVGSLGHR
Junior Caminero TB Jacob Misiorowski3 .000.0000
Yandy Díaz TB Jacob Misiorowski3 .3331.3331
Jonathan Aranda TB Jacob Misiorowski3 .000.0000
Cedric Mullins TB Jacob Misiorowski3 .000.0000
Nick Fortes TB Jacob Misiorowski3 .333.3330
Chandler Simpson TB Jacob Misiorowski2 .500.5000
Liam Hicks TB Jacob Misiorowski2 .500.5000
Stolen Basesrunner speed vs pitcher SB allowed

MIL @ TB

Top base stealers vs the opposing starter's SB allowed rate
RUNNERSBSB/GPITCHERSP SB/9
Chandler Simpson TB · LF 460.3 Jacob Misiorowski 0.1
David Hamilton MIL · 3B 300.25 —
Jackson Chourio MIL · LF 230.18 —
Cedric Mullins TB · CF 210.15 Jacob Misiorowski 0.1
Taylor Walls TB · SS 210.17 Jacob Misiorowski 0.1
Brice Turang MIL · 2B 190.13 —
Cooper Pratt MIL · SS 190.26 —
Richie Palacios TB · 2B 170.14 Jacob Misiorowski 0.1
Stadium ReportStatcast park factors · 100 = league average

Tropicana Field

MIL @ TB · Fixed dome · 43 ft
315 · 5ft404322 · 5ftdistances in feet · wall heights at the poles Closed dome · weather has no effect
RUNS
94
HR
105
HITS
98
K
102
HR vs LHB
88
HR vs RHB
118
2B
97
BB
91
Bullpens: MIL 3.2 ERA (4/7 fresh) · TB 3.51 ERA (5/9 fresh)
Sources: ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant · fantasyinfocentral · PropLine